An interesting discussion on Twitter about Offload and Onload that is reproduced below. Discussions have been edited for clarity:
@StevenJCrowley: Exhibit 1: In last year's VNI, Cisco estimated that in 2014, 23% of US mobile data would be offloaded. It's close to 50% today.
@dmavrakis: it depends how you define offload. Some of this 50% may be simple WiFi access rather than offload.
@StevenJCrowley: From what I see I'd suggest Wi-Fi (or femto) access is offload if the device is 2,3,4G capable but does not access a macrocell
@dmavrakis: So if I buy a SIM-only handset and not even put a SIM in and use WiFi, it's considered offload?
@StevenJCrowley: Seems to me that's not considered offload because without a SIM it's not a 2,3,4G capable device.
@StevenJCrowley: BTW my old AT&T iPhone 3G won't work as a Wi-Fi-only device without an old inactive SIM still in it. Don't know about iPhone 4.
@disruptivedean: I agree with @dmavrakis . Most smartphone WiFi use if "private WiFi", not offload. Some may even be onload (or "OTT WiFi")
@disruptivedean: Easy way to think of it: anything you'd do on an iPod Touch isn't offload WiFi if you do the same thing on iPhone
@disruptivedean: Other example: if I use WiFi to connect my phone to my printer (or corp WLAN) = traffic never destined for 2G/3G
@simonchapman: app downloads (500MB+ for some games), AirPlay etc are much greater than 2/3/4G use. Where is 50% figure from?
@SteveLightley: the actual presence of decent connectivity encourages higher capacity activity. Is that offload?
@disruptivedean: I refer to extra use as "elastic". See chart on p18 of my Carrier WiFi paper http://www.scribd.com/doc/61910980/Disruptive-Analysis-Carrier-WiFi
@StevenJCrowley: Decent connectivity / more use is offload, as 3G4G w/o Wi-Fi is onload. U.S./FCC/Cisco perspective
@StevenJCrowley: I define "onload" as a 2nd operator capturing traffic via WiFi, eg Vodafone handset + O2 WiFi app
@dmavrakis: Also core network onload via WLAN gateways without local breakout.
@disruptivedean: A thought about "offload". I only "onloaded" to 3G data on my PC in the first place because WiFi wasn't everywhere I needed it. Now it is.
@StevenJCrowley: 50% rough estimate. AT&T said 40% of iPhone traffic on Wi-Fi in early 2010. Its Wi-Fi network data tripled since
@StevenJCrowley: Does not include femto offload. See also "#2" from this blog post bit.ly/wxHvRl
@StevenJCrowley: AT&T recently said macrocell data growth down to 40% a year.
@StevenJCrowley: I like Dean's chart. Offloading important in U.S. from 4G spectrum requirements issue.
@StevenJCrowley: And here spectrum debate is more political than technical, thus broad brushes.
@StevenJCrowley: It's basically, "We need spectrum to stream NetFlix." "No, you're inside and can use Wi-Fi."
@StevenJCrowley: Dean's and Ofcom's analyses are the types of things current FCC should be doing but doesn't
@disruptivedean: The whole spectrum reqts issue likely to take a hit as data growth << expected on many networks. S-curve not exponential
@disruptivedean: To be fair, Cisco is between a rock & a hard place with VNI. Scared people into making sure it didn't come true. Self-denying
@Gabeuk: To everyone discussing offload on my Twitter today, the premise seems wrong... connectivity & access is the start point. Will elaborate l8er
@SteveLightley: I struggle to understand how if it would never have happened how it can be classed as offloaded
@SteveLightley: a VoIP call on an ott or mno app IS offload but Netflix in Starbucks over wifi is not
@SteveLightley: looking forward to gabe's view on access etc when he gets here!
@TMFAssociates: AT&T seems to have changed its tune over the last year as well http://gigaom.com/broadband/atts-vanishing-spectrum-crisis/
@StevenJCrowley: AT&T will spin it. "If only we had more spectrum we could have sent more data." Etc.
@dmavrakis: Arguably spectrum is the MNO's most valuable possession. Isn't it natural that they want more?
@StevenJCrowley: More spectrum than needed is an idle asset that costs the company money.
@TMFAssociates: But if you corner the market then you can foreclose the possibility of competition
@dmavrakis: I agree conditionally. Twitter is again not the best medium for this discussion
Couple of interesting posts related to the above:
What is your opinion?
- Watch out for dodgy offload & optimisation claims and stats - Dean Bubley (@disruptivedean)
- What to make of AT&T’s vanishing spectrum crisis
What is your opinion?