Saturday, 22 May 2010

50 Billion Connected Devices by 2020 (2025?)

Back in April, Hans Vestberg, CEO and the President of Ericsson declared that there will be 50 Billion connected devices by 2020.

In the recently concluded LTE World Summit, this statement seemed to have gained lots of attention. Everyone quoted this left, right and center. The interesting thing was that some said that this would happen by 2025 and some also said 2030.

While we can make a generic statement that there will be some 50 Billion connected devices sometime between 2020 and 2030, not everyone was sure how they would be connected.

My understanding is that a device is connected if it has a valid IP (IPv6) address. That means that the PC's at home are included and anything connected over WiFi are included as well.

So by this definition, it wont surprise me if we probably have 100 Billion connected devices by 2030.

2 comments:

rhubarb said...

i think the point is there will be billions of connected devices. whether that is 30, 40, 50 or 100+...

we are moving into an era when everything could be connected

Shidan said...

I think if you are using IPV6 as the definition, there will be over a trillion devices in the next decade, specially when you consider standards like 6lowpan and how "highly embedded" IP is becoming.

On the other hand, if we are talking about devices open to third party "systems of systems / sum greater than parts" type of innovation, the number of connected devices will be a small fraction of that, and LTE connected devices will be an even smaller fraction.

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Shidan Gouran